Value Line Income Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VALIX Fund  USD 14.32  0.02  0.14%   
The entity has a beta of 0.6, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Value Line's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Value Line is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Value Line Income are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Value Line is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2025
Expense Ratio1.0800
  

Value Line Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,366  in Value Line Income on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  66.00  from holding Value Line Income or generate 4.83% return on investment over 90 days. Value Line Income is currently producing 0.0805% returns and takes up 0.9461% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Value, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Value Line is expected to generate 1.26 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.26 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of risk.

Value Line Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
14.32
Please note that Value Line's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Value Line Income has a current Real Value of $14.37 per share. The regular price of the fund is $14.32. We determine the value of Value Line Income from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Value Line is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Value Mutual Fund. However, Value Line's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  14.32 Real  14.37 Hype  15.83 Naive  14.49
The intrinsic value of Value Line's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Value Line's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
14.37
Real Value
15.32
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Value Line Income helps investors to forecast how Value mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Value Line more accurately as focusing exclusively on Value Line's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.2814.4614.65
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8715.8316.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.5414.4915.44
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Value Line Income extending back to May 15, 1986. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Value Line stands at 14.32, as last reported on the 2nd of February, with the highest price reaching 14.32 and the lowest price hitting 14.32 during the day.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Value Line Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Value Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.32 90 days 14.32 
about 25.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Value Line to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 25.25 (This Value Line Income probability density function shows the probability of Value Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Value Line has a beta of 0.6. This entails as returns on the market go up, Value Line average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Value Line Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Value Line Income has an alpha of 0.0088, implying that it can generate a 0.008848 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Value Line Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Value Line

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Value Line Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8715.8316.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.4214.3715.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.5414.4915.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.2814.4614.65
Details

Value Line Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Value Line is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Value Line's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Value Line Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Value Line within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.0052

Value Line Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Value Line for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Value Line Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 8.99% of its net assets in cash

Value Line Fundamentals Growth

Value Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Value Line, and Value Line fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Value Mutual Fund performance.

About Value Line Performance

Evaluating Value Line's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Value Line has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Value Line has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund allocates its assets amongst equity securities, fixed income securities and money market instruments. It invests not less than 50 percent of its net assets in common or preferred stocks or securities convertible into common stock which may or may not pay dividends. The balance of the funds net assets are primarily invested in U.S. government securities, investment grade debt securities rated at the time of purchase from the highest to medium quality, other fixed income securities or cash equivalents.

Things to note about Value Line Income performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Value Line for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Value Line Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps about 8.99% of its net assets in cash
Evaluating Value Line's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Value Line's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Value Line's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Value Line's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Value Line's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Value Line's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Value Line's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Value Line's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Value Line's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Value Line's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Value Line's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Value Mutual Fund

Value Line financial ratios help investors to determine whether Value Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Value with respect to the benefits of owning Value Line security.
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